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패널 데이터 단절 시계열×시계열 단절 분석 (Interrupted Time Series, ITS)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2000s–2010s2002
창시자Shadish, Cook & Campbell (design framework); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (epidemiological tutorial)Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
유형Quasi-experimental causal inferenceQuasi-experimental segmented regression
원전Lopez Bernal, J., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
별칭panel ITS, multi-unit ITS, panel ITSA, controlled interrupted time seriesITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
관련55
요약Panel Data Interrupted Time Series (panel ITS) is a quasi-experimental method that estimates the causal effect of an intervention using repeated observations from multiple units over time. By exploiting variation across both units and time periods, it provides stronger causal identification than single-unit ITS, detecting changes in the level and slope of the outcome trajectory immediately following a clearly dated intervention.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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