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패널 데이터 인과적 영향 분석×패널 데이터 단절 시계열×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2015 (base method); panel extension mid-2010s2000s–2010s
창시자Brodersen et al. (2015); panel extension by Holtz et al. and subsequent literatureShadish, Cook & Campbell (design framework); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (epidemiological tutorial)
유형Bayesian structural time-series causal inferenceQuasi-experimental causal inference
원전Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Lopez Bernal, J., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
별칭Panel CausalImpact, multi-unit causal impact, panel BSTS causal inference, panel structural time-series causal analysispanel ITS, multi-unit ITS, panel ITSA, controlled interrupted time series
관련65
요약Panel data causal impact analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series approach of Brodersen et al. (2015) to multi-unit panel settings, estimating the counterfactual for several treated units simultaneously using control units as a donor pool. It produces credible intervals for the causal effect at each post-intervention time point, aggregated across units and periods.Panel Data Interrupted Time Series (panel ITS) is a quasi-experimental method that estimates the causal effect of an intervention using repeated observations from multiple units over time. By exploiting variation across both units and time periods, it provides stronger causal identification than single-unit ITS, detecting changes in the level and slope of the outcome trajectory immediately following a clearly dated intervention.
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