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귀무가설 검정×신뢰구간×
분야연구 통계연구 통계
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19251937
창시자Ronald Fisher; Neyman & PearsonJerzy Neyman
유형ConceptConcept
원전Fisher, R. A. (1925). Statistical Methods for Research Workers. Oliver and Boyd. link ↗Neyman, J. (1937). Outline of a Theory of Statistical Estimation Based on the Classical Theory of Probability. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 236, 333–380. DOI ↗
별칭NHST, hypothesis formulation, null hypothesis, alternative hypothesisCI, 95% CI, credible interval, interval estimate
관련44
요약Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) is the dominant statistical framework in empirical research. The null hypothesis (H₀) represents the default assumption—typically 'no effect' or 'no difference'—while the alternative hypothesis (H₁) represents the claim being tested. The test calculates the probability of observing the data given H₀ is true (p-value); if p is very small, H₀ is rejected in favor of H₁. Formulated by Ronald Fisher and extended by Neyman and Pearson in the early 20th century, NHST is foundational to confirmatory research but has been widely critiqued for misuse and misinterpretation.A confidence interval (CI) is a range of values, calculated from sample data, that likely contains the true population parameter. Introduced by Jerzy Neyman in 1937, it provides an interval estimate rather than a single point estimate, incorporating both the observed value and the uncertainty around it. The standard 95% confidence interval is a robust, intuitive alternative to p-values for communicating research results.
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