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Non-stationary Transformer×증강된 Dickey-Fuller (ADF) 단위근 검정×
분야딥러닝계량경제학
계열Machine learningRegression model
기원 연도20221979
창시자Yong Liu et al.David A. Dickey & Wayne A. Fuller
유형Transformer-based time-series forecasting modelUnit-root test for stationarity
원전Liu, Y., Wu, H., Wang, J., & Long, M. (2022). Non-stationary transformers: Exploring the stationarity in time series forecasting. NeurIPS. link ↗Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366a), 427–431. DOI ↗
별칭NS-Transformer, Non-stationary Transformer Network, Stationarization-based Transformer, Durağan-Olmayan TransformerADF test, Dickey-Fuller test, unit root test, Genişletilmiş Dickey-Fuller testi
관련34
요약Non-stationary Transformer is a Transformer-based time-series forecasting architecture introduced by Yong Liu, Haixu Wu, Jianmin Wang, and Mingsheng Long at NeurIPS 2022. It addresses a fundamental tension in applying Transformers to real-world time series: over-stationarization during preprocessing strips out non-stationary signals that carry predictive information, while raw non-stationary inputs cause attention to collapse. The model resolves this through series stationarization paired with a novel de-stationary attention mechanism that restores the original temporal distribution in predictions.The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is the most widely used test for a unit root — that is, for whether a time series is non-stationary and must be differenced before modelling. Introduced by David Dickey and Wayne Fuller in 1979 and extended by Said and Dickey in 1984 to series with higher-order autocorrelation, it regresses the change in the series on its lagged level plus lagged differences and asks whether the lagged-level coefficient is zero.
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