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비선형 구조 벡터 자기회귀 (NL-SVAR) 모형×구조적 벡터 자기회귀 (SVAR)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1990s–2010s1980
창시자Extensions by Koop, Potter, Auerbach, Gorodnichenko and othersSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
유형Multivariate nonlinear structural time series modelMultivariate time series model
원전Koop, G., & Korobilis, D. (2010). Bayesian multivariate time series methods for empirical macroeconomics. Foundations and Trends in Econometrics, 3(4), 267–358. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
별칭nonlinear structural VAR, NL-SVAR, threshold SVAR, regime-switching SVARSVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
관련65
요약The Nonlinear Structural VAR model extends the standard SVAR framework to allow structural relationships and dynamic responses to vary across economic regimes or states of the world. By imposing nonlinear transition mechanisms — such as threshold switching or smooth regime change — it captures asymmetric responses to shocks that a linear SVAR cannot detect.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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