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비선형 Engle-Granger 공적분×비선형 ARDL(NARDL) 모형×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1998-20062014
창시자Kapetanios, Shin & Snell; Enders & GrangerShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo
유형Cointegration testNonlinear cointegration model
원전Kapetanios, G., Shin, Y., & Snell, A. (2006). Testing for cointegration in nonlinear smooth transition error correction models. Econometric Theory, 22(2), 279-303. DOI ↗Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗
별칭nonlinear cointegration, threshold cointegration, KSS cointegration, ESTAR cointegrationNARDL, nonlinear bounds test, asymmetric ARDL, asymmetric cointegration model
관련35
요약Nonlinear Engle-Granger cointegration extends the classical two-step Engle-Granger procedure to detect long-run equilibria where adjustment toward the equilibrium is nonlinear — for example, faster above than below a threshold, or governed by a smooth transition mechanism. It is widely applied in financial economics, purchasing power parity tests, and commodity price analysis.The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing the regressor into cumulative positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a variable exert different effects on the outcome — a feature especially relevant in financial and energy economics where positive and negative shocks rarely cancel out symmetrically.
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