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다기간 인과 영향 분석×시계열 단절 분석 (Interrupted Time Series, ITS)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2015 (base); multi-period extensions 2017–present2002
창시자Brodersen, Gallusser, Koehler, Remy & Scott (Google); extended to multi-period settings by subsequent applied workWagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
유형Bayesian structural time-series / quasi-experimentalQuasi-experimental segmented regression
원전Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
별칭multi-period CausalImpact, staggered causal impact, repeated-period causal impact, multi-wave CausalImpactITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
관련65
요약Multi-period Causal Impact Analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series framework of Brodersen et al. (2015) to settings where an intervention occurs across multiple distinct periods, is applied at staggered times to different units, or where researchers wish to evaluate cumulative and period-specific effects within a single unified model. It builds a synthetic counterfactual from control covariates and projects it across each intervention window to quantify causal effects.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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ScholarGate방법 비교: Multi-period Causal Impact Analysis · Interrupted Time Series. 2026-06-19에 다음에서 검색함: https://scholargate.app/ko/compare