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다중 목표 시나리오 분석×다목적 최적화×
분야시뮬레이션시뮬레이션
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도2013 (integrated framework); scenario analysis roots: 19671896 (concept); 1989–2002 (evolutionary algorithms era)
창시자Stewart, French & Rios (integration formalized); scenario analysis roots: Kahn & Wiener (1967)Vilfredo Pareto (concept); modern computational formulation by Goldberg and Deb et al.
유형Structured qualitative-quantitative hybridOptimization framework
원전Stewart, T. J., French, S., & Rios, J. (2013). Integrating multicriteria decision analysis and scenario planning: Review and extension. Omega, 41(4), 679-688. DOI ↗Deb, K. (2001). Multi-Objective Optimization Using Evolutionary Algorithms. Wiley, Chichester. ISBN: 9780471873396
별칭MOSA, Multi-criteria scenario analysis, Multi-objective futures analysis, MO-scenario analysisMOO, Multi-Criteria Optimization, Vector Optimization, Pareto Optimization
관련43
요약Multi-objective Scenario Analysis (MOSA) is a structured method that constructs a set of plausible future scenarios and evaluates each scenario against multiple competing objectives or criteria. By making trade-offs explicit across objectives and across possible futures, it supports strategic decisions where uncertainty about the future and conflicts between goals co-exist. It is widely applied in energy planning, climate adaptation, public policy, and corporate strategy.Multi-Objective Optimization (MOO) is a mathematical and computational framework for finding solutions that simultaneously optimize two or more conflicting objective functions. Rather than collapsing all goals into a single scalar, MOO produces a set of trade-off solutions — the Pareto front — from which a decision-maker selects according to preference. It is widely used in engineering design, operations research, logistics, economics, and policy analysis.
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