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Journey to Crime Analysis×커널 밀도 추정 및 분포 검정 (KDE)×
분야Criminology통계학
계열Process / pipelineRegression model
기원 연도20001956
창시자D. Kim Rossmo (geographic profiling); journey-to-crime traditionRosenblatt (1956); Parzen (1962); textbook treatment by Silverman
유형Spatial analysis of offender travel and home-location inferenceNonparametric density estimation
원전Rossmo, D. K. (2000). Geographic Profiling. CRC Press. ISBN: 9780849381294Rosenblatt, M. (1956). Remarks on Some Nonparametric Estimates of a Density Function. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 27(3), 832-837. DOI ↗
별칭Journey-to-Crime Modeling, Geographic Profiling, Crime Trip Analysis, Distance-Decay Crime Analysiskernel density estimate, KDE, Parzen window estimation, nonparametric density estimation
관련44
요약Journey-to-crime analysis studies how far and where offenders travel from an anchor point — usually home — to commit crimes, and inverts that pattern to infer an unknown offender's likely base. The aggregate distance-decay regularity (most crimes occur near the offender's home, with frequency falling off with distance) underlies geographic profiling, formalized by D. Kim Rossmo in 2000 to prioritize the search for serial offenders.Kernel Density Estimation is a nonparametric method that estimates a continuous probability density by placing a smooth kernel function over each observation, without assuming any parametric distribution. It traces back to Rosenblatt (1956) and the textbook treatment by Silverman (1986), and it also supports distribution-comparison tests built on the estimated densities.
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