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요한센 공적분 검정 및 벡터 오차 수정 모형×장기기억 모형 (ARFIMA, FIGARCH)×
분야재무학재무학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19911980
창시자Søren JohansenGranger & Joyeux (ARFIMA); Baillie, Bollerslev & Mikkelsen (FIGARCH)
유형Multivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelFractionally integrated time series model
원전Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15-29. DOI ↗
별칭Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationARFIMA, FIGARCH, fractionally integrated models, fractional integration
관련34
요약The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.Long-memory models are fractional-integration methods that capture genuine long memory through a hyperbolically decaying autocorrelation structure. ARFIMA, introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980), models long memory in return series, while FIGARCH, introduced by Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), captures long memory in volatility series; the parameter d measures the degree of fractional integration.
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