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푸리에 ARCH 모형×비선형 ARCH 모형 (NARCH)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2010s1992
창시자Extends Engle (1982) ARCH framework with Fourier terms following Enders & Lee (2012)Higgins & Bera
유형Volatility model with smooth structural changeVolatility model
원전Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Higgins, M. L., & Bera, A. K. (1992). A class of nonlinear ARCH models. International Economic Review, 33(1), 137-158. DOI ↗
별칭Fourier-ARCH, F-ARCH, ARCH with Fourier terms, Fourier smooth transition ARCHNARCH, Nonlinear ARCH, nonlinear conditional heteroscedasticity model, NARCH model
관련64
요약The Fourier ARCH model extends the classical ARCH framework by incorporating trigonometric (Fourier) terms into the conditional variance equation. This allows the model to capture smooth, gradual shifts in volatility dynamics over time without assuming abrupt structural breaks, making it well-suited for long financial or macroeconomic time series subject to slowly evolving regime changes.The Nonlinear ARCH (NARCH) model, introduced by Higgins and Bera (1992), extends Engle's original ARCH framework by allowing the power transformation of volatility to be estimated from the data rather than fixed at two. This flexibility captures a broader class of volatility dynamics observed in financial and macroeconomic time series.
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