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다요인 자연 실험×자연 실험×
분야실험설계실험설계
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1920s (factorial origins, Fisher); natural experiment formalization 1990s–2000s; factorial natural experiment usage widespread 2000s–present1990s (formal methodological articulation); earlier in epidemiology (John Snow, 1854)
창시자Extension of natural experiment tradition (Dunning, Angrist & Pischke) combined with factorial design logic (Fisher)Varied; systematized in econometrics and political science (e.g., Meyer 1995; Angrist & Krueger 1991)
유형Quasi-experimental research designQuasi-experimental research design
원전Dunning, T. (2012). Natural Experiments in the Social Sciences: A Design-Based Approach. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-1107698000Meyer, B. D. (1995). Natural and quasi-experiments in economics. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 13(2), 151–161. DOI ↗
별칭factorial quasi-experiment, multi-factor natural experiment, factorial exogenous variation designnatural quasi-experiment, naturally occurring experiment, exogenous shock design, as-if randomization
관련43
요약A factorial natural experiment exploits naturally occurring exogenous variation across two or more factors simultaneously, allowing researchers to estimate main effects and interactions without random assignment. Natural events, policy changes, or institutional rules create treatment conditions that approximate a factorial structure, enabling causal inference in observational settings where controlled experimentation is infeasible or unethical.A natural experiment exploits a real-world event, policy, or circumstance that assigns individuals to treatment and control conditions in a way that is plausibly random — or at least exogenous to the outcome of interest. Because the researcher does not control assignment, it occupies a middle ground between a true randomized controlled trial and purely observational research, offering stronger causal leverage than conventional observational designs when the as-if randomization assumption holds.
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