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지수적 GARCH (EGARCH)×ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) 모형×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19912015
창시자NelsonBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
유형Conditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Univariate time-series model
원전Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
별칭exponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
관련45
요약EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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