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자기상관에 대한 더빈-왓슨 검정×다중 선형 회귀×
분야계량경제학통계학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19501886
창시자James Durbin & Geoffrey WatsonFrancis Galton; formalized by Karl Pearson
유형Test for first-order residual autocorrelationParametric linear model
원전Durbin, J., & Watson, G. S. (1950). Testing for serial correlation in least squares regression: I. Biometrika, 37(3/4), 409–428. DOI ↗Galton, F. (1886). Regression towards mediocrity in hereditary stature. Journal of the Anthropological Institute of Great Britain and Ireland, 15, 246–263. DOI ↗
별칭DW test, Durbin-Watson statistic, Durbin-Watson otokorelasyon testiMLR, OLS regression, multiple regression, linear regression with multiple predictors
관련48
요약The Durbin-Watson test, developed by James Durbin and Geoffrey Watson in 1950–1951, detects first-order serial correlation in the residuals of a linear regression. Its statistic ranges from 0 to 4, with a value near 2 indicating no autocorrelation, values toward 0 indicating positive autocorrelation, and values toward 4 indicating negative autocorrelation. It remains one of the most reported regression diagnostics despite well-known limitations.Multiple linear regression (MLR) is a parametric regression model that expresses a continuous outcome as a weighted linear combination of two or more predictor variables plus a random error term. The unknown weights (regression coefficients) are estimated by ordinary least squares (OLS), which minimises the sum of squared residuals. The method traces to Francis Galton's 1886 work on hereditary stature and was placed on firm mathematical footing by Karl Pearson; Draper and Smith's 1966 textbook established it as the standard framework for applied regression.
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