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동태적 확률 일반균형 (DSGE) 모형×벡터 오차 수정 모형 (VECM)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20071987
창시자Smets & Wouters; An & Schorfheide (Bayesian DSGE estimation)Engle & Granger
유형Micro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium modelMultivariate time-series model
원전Smets, F. & Wouters, R. (2007). Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach. American Economic Review, 97(3), 586–606. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276. DOI ↗
별칭DSGE, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, micro-founded macroeconomic model, Dinamik Stokastik Genel Denge Modeli (DSGE)vector error correction model, error correction model, cointegration model, VECM (Vektör Hata Düzeltme Modeli)
관련54
요약A DSGE model is a micro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium model that combines the optimising decisions of households, firms, and government under rational expectations. Popularised for empirical policy work by Smets and Wouters (2007) and given its Bayesian estimation framework by An and Schorfheide (2007), it is the standard tool for central-bank policy analysis, fiscal-shock simulation, and the study of business-cycle fluctuations.The Vector Error Correction Model is a multivariate time-series model for cointegrated series that captures both their short-run dynamics and their long-run equilibrium relationship. It was introduced by Engle and Granger in 1987 as part of the cointegration and error-correction framework.
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