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이산 선택 시뮬레이션×Mixed Logit Model×
분야시뮬레이션계량경제학
계열Process / pipelineRegression model
기원 연도1974 (McFadden's Nobel-cited logit); simulation extensions throughout 1990s–2000s2000
창시자Daniel McFadden (random utility theory); Kenneth Train (simulation methods)Daniel McFadden & Kenneth Train
유형Discrete choice modelling with Monte Carlo simulationRandom-parameters discrete choice model
원전Train, K.E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗Train, K. E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0-521-74738-7
별칭stated preference simulation, SP simulation, revealed preference modelling, Ayrık Seçim Simülasyonu (Stated Preference / SP Simulation)Random Parameters Logit, Mixed Multinomial Logit, Error Components Logit, Karma Logit Modeli
관련53
요약Discrete choice simulation is a behavioural modelling method — grounded in random utility theory formalised by Daniel McFadden in the 1970s and extended to simulation-based estimation by Kenneth Train — that estimates how individuals choose among mutually exclusive alternatives and then uses those estimated preference parameters to forecast how choice shares would shift under hypothetical policy or market scenarios. It is the dominant quantitative tool in transport demand analysis, health economics, environmental valuation, and marketing research.The Mixed Logit model, introduced formally by McFadden and Train (2000) and elaborated in Train (2009), is a flexible discrete choice framework that allows preference parameters to vary randomly across decision-makers. By integrating standard logit probabilities over a mixing distribution of coefficients, it overcomes the restrictive independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property and accommodates unobserved taste heterogeneity, panel data correlation, and complex substitution patterns across alternatives.
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