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디지털 트윈 시뮬레이션×상태 공간 모형 (칼만 필터)×
분야시뮬레이션계량경제학
계열Process / pipelineRegression model
기원 연도2002 (concept); 2014 (white paper formalization)1990
창시자Michael Grieves (University of Michigan, 2002; white paper 2014)Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
유형Hybrid physics-based + machine-learning simulationState space time series model
원전Grieves, M. (2014). Digital Twin: Manufacturing Excellence through Virtual Factory Replication. White Paper, University of Michigan. link ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
별칭Dijital İkiz Simülasyonu (Digital Twin), digital twin, digital shadow, cyber-physical twinstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
관련44
요약Digital Twin Simulation, first conceptualised by Michael Grieves at the University of Michigan around 2002 and formally described in his 2014 white paper, creates a continuously updated virtual copy of a physical system by fusing real-time sensor data with a mechanistic (physics-based) model and machine-learning components. The twin mirrors the physical asset's current state and projects its future behaviour, enabling fault detection, predictive maintenance, and operational optimisation without disrupting the real system.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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