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| 결정론적 미시모형× | 이산 사건 시뮬레이션 (DES)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 분야 | 시뮬레이션 | 시뮬레이션 |
| 계열 | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| 기원 연도≠ | 1957 | 1960s (formalized); modern computational form from 1970s onward |
| 창시자≠ | Guy H. Orcutt | Banks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol (textbook lineage); foundational work by Tocher & Conway (1960s) |
| 유형≠ | Individual-level deterministic rule application | Stochastic process simulation |
| 원전≠ | Orcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗ | Banks, J., Carson, J.S., Nelson, B.L. & Nicol, D.M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Pearson. ISBN: 978-0136062127 |
| 별칭≠ | Arithmetic Microsimulation, Static Tax-Benefit Microsimulation, Deterministic Policy Simulation, Rule-based Microsimulation | DES, event-driven simulation, Ayrık Olay Simülasyonu (DES) |
| 관련≠ | 5 | 4 |
| 요약≠ | Deterministic Microsimulation applies a fixed set of policy rules or behavioral equations to each individual or household record in a microdata file, computing exact outcomes without any random sampling. It is the standard engine behind tax-benefit calculators and demographic projection models used by governments worldwide. | Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) is a computational modeling paradigm in which the state of a system changes only at a countable sequence of points in time — the events. Between events nothing changes, so the simulation clock jumps directly from one event to the next. Formalized through the foundational textbooks of Banks, Carson, Nelson and Nicol and of Law in the 1960s–2000s, DES has become the standard tool for analyzing queuing systems, healthcare patient flows, manufacturing lines, and logistics networks where entities move through resources over time. |
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