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DeepAR×N-HiTS×
분야딥러닝딥러닝
계열Machine learningMachine learning
기원 연도20202023
창시자Salinas, D., Flunkert, V. & Gasthaus, J. (Amazon)Challu, C. et al.
유형Autoregressive recurrent neural network (probabilistic forecasting)Deep neural forecasting (hierarchical interpolation)
원전Salinas, D., Flunkert, V., Gasthaus, J. & Januschowski, T. (2020). DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networks. International Journal of Forecasting, 36(3), 1181–1191. DOI ↗Challu, C. et al. (2023). NHITS: Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting. AAAI. DOI ↗
별칭DeepAR — Olasılıksal RNN Tahmini, probabilistic autoregressive RNN forecasting, Amazon DeepARN-HiTS — Hiyerarşik İnterpolasyon Tahmini, NHITS, Neural Hierarchical Interpolation
관련53
요약DeepAR is Amazon's industrial forecasting model, introduced by Salinas, Flunkert and Gasthaus (2017; published 2020), that uses an autoregressive recurrent neural network to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution at each step, producing a confidence interval rather than a single point forecast. It can model many related time series jointly within one model.N-HiTS (Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting), introduced by Challu and colleagues in 2023, is a deep neural forecasting architecture that combines the hierarchical forecasts of multiple stacks operating at different sampling rates and merges them through interpolation. It extends N-BEATS to deliver markedly better accuracy on long forecast horizons.
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