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DCC-GARCH 모형 (동적 조건부 상관관계)×Granger 인과관계 검정×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20021969
창시자Robert F. EngleClive W. J. Granger
유형Multivariate volatility modelCausality test (F-test on VAR)
원전Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗
별칭DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCGranger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality test
관련55
요약The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis.
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