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| DCC-GARCH (동적 조건부 상관관계)× | 극단값 이론 (Extreme Value Theory, EVT)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 분야 | 재무학 | 재무학 |
| 계열 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 기원 연도≠ | 2002 | 2001 |
| 창시자≠ | Robert F. Engle | Coles (textbook treatment); McNeil, Frey & Embrechts |
| 유형≠ | Multivariate volatility model | Tail / extreme-event model |
| 원전≠ | Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗ | Coles, S. (2001). An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values. Springer. ISBN: 978-1852334598 |
| 별칭≠ | dynamic conditional correlation, Engle DCC, multivariate GARCH, DCC-GARCH — Dinamik Koşullu Korelasyon | EVT, generalized extreme value, generalized Pareto distribution, peaks over threshold |
| 관련 | 5 | 5 |
| 요약≠ | DCC-GARCH is Engle's (2002) multivariate volatility model that lets the correlations between several assets change over time. A separate univariate GARCH model is fitted to each series, and then the dynamic correlation matrix is estimated in a second, separate step. | Extreme Value Theory is a statistical framework for modelling the rare events that live in the tail of a probability distribution. As developed in Coles (2001) and applied to risk by McNeil, Frey & Embrechts (2005), it offers two standard routes: the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution for block maxima and the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD), used in the peaks-over-threshold approach, for exceedances above a high threshold. |
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