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조건부 위험값(Expected Shortfall)×지수적 GARCH (EGARCH)×
분야재무학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20001991
창시자Rockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)Nelson
유형Coherent tail-risk measureConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
원전Rockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
별칭CVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
관련54
요약Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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