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Chronos: 시계열 예측을 위한 토큰화된 파운데이션 모델×전문가 혼합×
분야딥러닝딥러닝
계열Machine learningMachine learning
기원 연도20242017
창시자Abdul Fatir Ansari et al. (Amazon)Shazeer, N. et al.
유형Pre-trained language-model-based time-series forecasterSparse neural network architecture (conditional computation)
원전Ansari, A. F., Stella, L., Turkmen, C., Zhang, X., Mercado, P., Shen, H., et al. (2024). Chronos: Learning the language of time series. Transactions on Machine Learning Research. link ↗Shazeer, N. et al. (2017). Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layer. ICLR. arXiv:1701.06538 link ↗
별칭Chronos Forecasting Model, Amazon Chronos, Tokenized Time-Series LLM, Kronos Zaman Serisi ModeliUzman Karışımı (Mixture of Experts — MoE), uzman karışımı, MoE, sparse mixture of experts
관련23
요약Chronos is a family of pre-trained probabilistic forecasting models introduced by Ansari et al. at Amazon in 2024. It adapts the language-model paradigm to time series by quantizing continuous values into discrete tokens, enabling a standard transformer to be trained on a large heterogeneous corpus of time-series data. The result is a zero-shot forecasting model that generalizes across domains without requiring dataset-specific retraining.Mixture of Experts (MoE) is a sparse neural-network architecture, introduced by Shazeer and colleagues in 2017 with the sparsely-gated MoE layer, in which only a subset of expert sub-networks is activated for each input. As seen in models such as Switch Transformer and Mixtral, it holds computation cost fixed even as the total parameter count grows.
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