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베이지안 성향 점수 가중법×베이즈 차이의 차이(Bayesian Difference-in-Differences)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20092015-2023
창시자McCandless, Gustafson & AustinLi & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series)
유형Bayesian causal weighting estimatorBayesian causal inference / panel regression
원전McCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2009). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 28(1), 94–112. DOI ↗Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529. link ↗
별칭Bayesian PSW, Bayesian IPW, Bayesian inverse probability weighting, Bayesian propensity weightingBayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator
관련65
요약Bayesian Propensity Score Weighting estimates causal treatment effects in observational data by combining a Bayesian model for the propensity score with inverse probability weighting. By placing a prior over propensity-score parameters and propagating posterior uncertainty through the weighting step, this approach yields fully probabilistic uncertainty intervals for the average treatment effect, accounting for the uncertainty in both the score model and the outcome.Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available.
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