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베이지안 EGARCH 모형×EGARCH 모형 (Exponential GARCH)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1991 (EGARCH); 2000s (Bayesian estimation)1991
창시자Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; Bayesian inference via MCMC developed from early 2000sDaniel B. Nelson
유형Volatility model with Bayesian inferenceVolatility / conditional variance model
원전Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
별칭Bayesian EGARCH model, Bayesian Exponential GARCH, EGARCH with Bayesian estimation, B-EGARCHExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
관련66
요약The Bayesian EGARCH model combines Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH specification — which models the log of conditional variance and captures the leverage effect — with Bayesian posterior inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). This allows full uncertainty quantification of all volatility parameters, including the asymmetry coefficient, without requiring large-sample normality of the estimates.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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