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베이지안 차분 GMM×동적 패널 데이터 모형×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1991/20031991–1998
창시자Arellano & Bond (1991) for Difference GMM; Chernozhukov & Hong (2003) for Bayesian GMM frameworkArellano & Bond (1991); Blundell & Bond (1998)
유형Dynamic panel estimator (Bayesian)Dynamic panel regression
원전Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297. DOI ↗Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. DOI ↗
별칭Bayesian Arellano-Bond estimator, Bayesian difference GMM, quasi-Bayesian difference GMM, Bayesian first-difference GMMdynamic panel model, lagged dependent variable panel model, Arellano-Bond type dynamic panel, GMM dynamic panel
관련55
요약Bayesian Difference GMM combines the Arellano-Bond first-differencing strategy for dynamic panel data with a Bayesian inference framework. By treating the GMM moment conditions as a quasi-likelihood and placing priors on parameters, the approach produces a full posterior distribution over coefficients rather than a single point estimate with asymptotic standard errors.The dynamic panel data model extends standard panel regression by including one or more lagged values of the outcome variable as regressors. Because past outcomes directly predict current outcomes, the model captures persistence and adjustment dynamics — but it also introduces a correlation between the lagged dependent variable and the individual fixed effect, rendering OLS and standard fixed-effects estimators inconsistent. GMM-based approaches developed by Arellano-Bond and Blundell-Bond resolve this problem.
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