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ARDL 경계 검정 (Pesaran 경계 검정)×최소제곱법(OLS) 회귀×조건부 분위수 회귀×
분야계량경제학계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression modelRegression model
기원 연도200120191978
창시자Pesaran, Shin & SmithWooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresKoenker & Bassett
유형Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelLinear regressionConditional quantile regression
원전Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
별칭Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
관련455
요약The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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