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ベクトル誤差修正モデル(VECM)×構造的ベクトル自己回帰 (SVAR)×
分野計量経済学計量経済学
系統Regression modelRegression model
提唱年19871980
提唱者Robert F. Engle and Clive W. J. GrangerSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
種類Multivariate time-series modelMultivariate time series model
原典Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
別名VECM, error correction VAR, cointegrated VAR, vector equilibrium correction modelSVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
関連55
概要The Vector Error Correction Model extends the Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework to a system of variables that share one or more long-run equilibrium relationships. It jointly models short-run dynamics and the speed at which each variable corrects back toward equilibrium after a shock, making it the standard tool for analysing cointegrated multivariate time series.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Vector Error Correction Model · Structural VAR. 2026-06-15に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare