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| ロバストTGARCH× | DCC-GARCHモデル(動学的条件付き相関)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 分野 | 計量経済学 | 計量経済学 |
| 系統 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 提唱年≠ | 1994–2000s | 2002 |
| 提唱者≠ | Zakoian (1994) for TGARCH; robust extensions developed through quasi-maximum likelihood and M-estimation literature | Robert F. Engle |
| 種類≠ | Volatility model with asymmetry and robust estimation | Multivariate volatility model |
| 原典≠ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗ |
| 別名 | robust GJR-GARCH, robust threshold GARCH, heavy-tail TGARCH, outlier-robust TGARCH | DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC |
| 関連≠ | 6 | 5 |
| 概要≠ | Robust TGARCH extends the Threshold GARCH model by replacing the conventional maximum likelihood objective with an estimator that is resistant to heavy-tailed innovations and outlying observations. It captures asymmetric volatility responses — where negative shocks amplify variance more than positive shocks — while remaining reliable when the return distribution deviates strongly from normality. | The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series. |
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