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ロバストARCHモデル×EGARCHモデル(指数型GARCH)×
分野計量経済学計量経済学
系統Regression modelRegression model
提唱年2002–20081991
提唱者Engle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sDaniel B. Nelson
種類Volatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelVolatility / conditional variance model
原典Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
別名robust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
関連66
概要The Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Robust ARCH model · EGARCH model. 2026-06-17に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare