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| 非線形グレンジャー因果性検定× | 非線形ベクトル誤差修正モデル(非線形VECM)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 分野 | 計量経済学 | 計量経済学 |
| 系統 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 提唱年≠ | 1992-2006 | 1989–1998 |
| 提唱者≠ | Baek & Brock (1992); Hiemstra & Jones (1994); Diks & Panchenko (2006) | Granger & Lee (1989); Enders & Granger (1998) |
| 種類≠ | Nonparametric causality test | Nonlinear time-series model |
| 原典≠ | Diks, C., & Panchenko, V. (2006). A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30(9-10), 1647-1669. DOI ↗ | Enders, W., & Granger, C. W. J. (1998). Unit-root tests and asymmetric adjustment with an example using the term structure of interest rates. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 16(3), 304–311. DOI ↗ |
| 別名 | nonlinear causality test, BDS-based causality, Diks-Panchenko test, nonparametric Granger causality | nonlinear VECM, NVECM, threshold VECM, asymmetric VECM |
| 関連≠ | 6 | 2 |
| 概要≠ | Nonlinear Granger causality extends the classic linear Granger causality framework to detect predictive relationships that operate through nonlinear dynamics. Using nonparametric or semi-parametric statistics based on correlation integrals or kernel density estimation, it identifies whether past values of one variable improve forecasts of another beyond what any linear model can capture. | The Nonlinear VECM extends the standard linear VECM by allowing the speed of adjustment toward long-run equilibrium to differ depending on the sign, magnitude, or regime of deviations from that equilibrium. It captures asymmetric or threshold-driven dynamics in cointegrated time-series systems that a standard VECM would miss. |
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