手法を比較

	離散選択シミュレーション	多項ロジスティック回帰
分野	シミュレーション	計量経済学
系統	Process / pipeline	Regression model
提唱年	1974 (McFadden's Nobel-cited logit); simulation extensions throughout 1990s–2000s	1974
提唱者	Daniel McFadden (random utility theory); Kenneth Train (simulation methods)	McFadden
種類	Discrete choice modelling with Monte Carlo simulation	Multinomial logistic regression
原典	Train, K.E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press.	McFadden, D. (1974). Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior. In P. Zarembka (Ed.), Frontiers in Econometrics (pp. 105-142). Academic Press. ISBN: 978-0127761503
別名	stated preference simulation, SP simulation, revealed preference modelling, Ayrık Seçim Simülasyonu (Stated Preference / SP Simulation)	multinomial logistic regression, polytomous logistic regression, softmax regression, Çok Kategorili Lojistik Regresyon
関連	5	5
概要	Discrete choice simulation is a behavioural modelling method — grounded in random utility theory formalised by Daniel McFadden in the 1970s and extended to simulation-based estimation by Kenneth Train — that estimates how individuals choose among mutually exclusive alternatives and then uses those estimated preference parameters to forecast how choice shares would shift under hypothetical policy or market scenarios. It is the dominant quantitative tool in transport demand analysis, health economics, environmental valuation, and marketing research.	Multinomial logistic regression is a maximum-likelihood method for a nominal (unordered) dependent variable with more than two categories. Building on McFadden's 1974 treatment of qualitative choice, it gives each category its own set of coefficients relative to a reference category.