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Diebold-Mariano予測精度等価性検定×ステップワイズ回帰×
分野計量経済学統計学
系統Hypothesis testRegression model
提唱年19951960
提唱者Francis Diebold & Roberto MarianoM. A. Efroymson
種類Non-parametric forecast comparison testAutomated variable selection
原典Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1995). Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 13(3), 253–263. DOI ↗Efroymson, M. A. (1960). Multiple regression analysis. In A. Ralston & H. S. Wilf (Eds.), Mathematical Methods for Digital Computers (pp. 191–203). Wiley. link ↗
別名DM Test, Test of Equal Forecast Accuracy, Diebold-Mariano Forecast Comparison Test, Tahmin Doğruluğu Eşitliği Testistepwise selection, forward stepwise regression, backward stepwise regression, forward-backward selection
関連35
概要The Diebold-Mariano (DM) test, introduced by Diebold and Mariano in 1995, is a widely used non-parametric procedure for formally comparing the predictive accuracy of two competing forecasting models. It evaluates whether the difference in forecast errors between two models is statistically significant, without requiring nested models or specific distributional assumptions about the forecasts, making it broadly applicable across economics, finance, and time-series analysis.Stepwise regression is an automated variable selection procedure for multiple linear regression that adds or removes predictor variables one at a time according to a statistical criterion, typically the F-statistic or a p-value threshold. The forward-selection algorithm was formally described by Efroymson (1960) and the bidirectional variant was popularised by Draper and Smith in their landmark 1966 text Applied Regression Analysis. Despite widespread historical use, the method is now widely critiqued, making its documentation essential in any canonical methods library.
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ScholarGate手法を比較: Diebold-Mariano Test · Stepwise Regression. 2026-06-19に以下より取得 https://scholargate.app/ja/compare