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| DCC-GARCHモデル(動学的条件付き相関)× | ARCHモデル(Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 分野 | 計量経済学 | 計量経済学 |
| 系統 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 提唱年≠ | 2002 | 1982 |
| 提唱者 | Robert F. Engle | Robert F. Engle |
| 種類≠ | Multivariate volatility model | Conditional volatility model |
| 原典≠ | Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ |
| 別名 | DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC | ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model |
| 関連≠ | 5 | 6 |
| 概要≠ | The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series. | The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering. |
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