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| ベイズ構造VAR(B-SVAR)モデル× | 構造的ベクトル自己回帰 (SVAR)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 分野 | 計量経済学 | 計量経済学 |
| 系統 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 提唱年≠ | 1998–2005 | 1980 |
| 提唱者≠ | Sims & Zha (1998); Uhlig (2005) for sign-restriction identification | Sims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989) |
| 種類≠ | Structural multivariate time-series model | Multivariate time series model |
| 原典≠ | Sims, C. A., & Zha, T. (1998). Bayesian methods for dynamic multivariate models. International Economic Review, 39(4), 949–968. DOI ↗ | Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗ |
| 別名 | Bayesian SVAR, B-SVAR, Bayesian structural VAR, Bayesian identified VAR | SVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model |
| 関連≠ | 6 | 5 |
| 概要≠ | The Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression model combines the structural identification of SVAR with Bayesian prior distributions over parameters. It estimates causal impulse responses between multiple time series while incorporating prior economic knowledge and producing full posterior uncertainty bands rather than point estimates alone. | Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions. |
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