手法を比較

	ベイズ負の二項回帰	ベイズ型ゼロ過剰モデル
分野	統計学	統計学
系統	Regression model	Regression model
提唱年	1990s–2000s	1992–2006
提唱者	Gelman, Carlin, Stern, Dunson, Vehtari & Rubin; Cameron & Trivedi	Lambert (1992) for ZIP; Bayesian extension by Ghosh, Mukhopadhyay & Lu (2006)
種類	Bayesian GLM for overdispersed counts	Bayesian count regression
原典	Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A., & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955	Ghosh, S. K., Mukhopadhyay, P., & Lu, J.-C. (2006). Bayesian analysis of zero-inflated regression models. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 136(4), 1360–1375.
別名	Bayesian NB regression, Bayesian negbin model, Bayesian overdispersed count regression, Bayesian NB-2 model	Bayesian ZIP, Bayesian ZINB, Bayesian zero-inflated Poisson, Bayesian zero-inflated negative binomial
関連	6	5
概要	Bayesian Negative Binomial Regression models non-negative integer count outcomes that exhibit overdispersion — where the variance exceeds the mean — by placing a negative binomial likelihood on the data and specifying prior distributions over the regression coefficients and the dispersion parameter. Posterior inference is typically performed via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or variational methods, yielding full posterior distributions rather than point estimates.	The Bayesian zero-inflated model handles count data with excess zeros by combining a binary component — identifying structural zeros — with a count component (Poisson or negative binomial) for the remaining counts. Bayesian inference via MCMC provides full posterior distributions for all parameters, enabling principled uncertainty quantification and regularisation through priors.