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| Modello SVAR con rotture strutturali× | Modello a Correzione d'Errore Vettoriale con Rotture Strutturali (SB-VECM)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Campo | Econometria | Econometria |
| Famiglia | Regression model | Regression model |
| Anno di origine≠ | 1980–2000s | 1996–2000 |
| Ideatore≠ | Sims (1980) for SVAR; structural break extensions developed throughout 1990s–2000s | Gregory & Hansen (1996); Johansen, Mosconi & Nielsen (2000) |
| Tipo≠ | Multivariate time-series model with regime change | Multivariate error correction model with structural breaks |
| Fonte seminale≠ | Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗ | Gregory, A. W., & Hansen, B. E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts. Journal of Econometrics, 70(1), 99–126. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | break-SVAR, SVAR with regime change, structural break structural VAR, SB-SVAR | SB-VECM, VECM with regime shifts, cointegration model with structural breaks, break-augmented VECM |
| Correlati≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Sintesi≠ | The structural break SVAR model extends the standard Structural Vector Autoregression by allowing one or more discrete shifts in the system's parameters across time. It simultaneously identifies causal (structural) shocks and accounts for regime changes — such as policy shifts, crises, or institutional reforms — that alter the dynamics among multiple time series. | The Structural Break VECM extends the standard Vector Error Correction Model to allow the cointegrating relationships, adjustment speeds, or short-run dynamics to shift at one or more known or estimated break dates. It preserves the long-run equilibrium framework of the VECM while explicitly modelling regime changes caused by policy shifts, crises, or institutional changes. |
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