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OLS con Rilevazione di Rotture Strutturali×Modello ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×
CampoEconometriaEconometria
FamigliaRegression modelRegression model
Anno di origine1960–19981970
IdeatoreChow (1960) for the breakpoint test; Bai & Perron (1998) for multiple break estimationGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
TipoSegmented linear regressionTime series forecasting model
Fonte seminaleBai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
AliasOLS with structural breaks, piecewise OLS, regime-switching OLS, breakpoint regressionARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
Correlati66
SintesiStructural Break OLS extends ordinary least squares to allow regression coefficients to shift at one or more breakpoints in time or across regimes. Rather than forcing a single coefficient vector across the entire sample, the model partitions the data and estimates a separate OLS regression within each segment, making it appropriate when economic relationships are suspected to change due to policy shifts, crises, or other structural events.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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ScholarGateConfronta i metodi: Structural Break OLS · ARIMA model. Consultato il 2026-06-17 da https://scholargate.app/it/compare