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| Modello Strutturale Marginale Robusto× | Modello Strutturale Marginale (MSM)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Campo | Inferenza causale | Inferenza causale |
| Famiglia | Regression model | Regression model |
| Anno di origine≠ | 2000–2004 | 2000 |
| Ideatore≠ | Robins, Hernán & Brumback; robustness extensions by Scharfstein, Rotnitzky, Lunceford & Davidian | James M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernan, Babette Brumback |
| Tipo≠ | Causal inference / weighted regression | Causal model / semiparametric weighting |
| Fonte seminale≠ | Robins, J. M., Hernán, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560. DOI ↗ | Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | robust MSM, doubly-robust MSM, sandwich-SE MSM, robust IPTW marginal structural model | MSM, MSM-IPTW, marginal structural Cox model, weighted structural model |
| Correlati≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Sintesi≠ | Robust Marginal Structural Models (robust MSMs) extend the standard MSM framework — which uses inverse probability of treatment weighting to handle time-varying confounding — by pairing IPTW estimation with sandwich (robust) standard errors or doubly-robust estimators. This combination yields valid causal estimates and reliable inference even when the outcome regression model is mildly misspecified or weights are moderately variable. | A marginal structural model is a causal modeling framework designed to estimate the effect of a time-varying treatment in the presence of time-varying confounders that are themselves affected by prior treatment. By reweighting observations with inverse probability of treatment weights, MSMs create a pseudo-population in which confounding is eliminated, enabling unbiased estimation of causal treatment contrasts even when standard regression adjustments would fail. |
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