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Modello ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Test di Cointegrazione di Johansen e Modello a Correzione d'Errore Vettoriale×Modelli a memoria lunga (ARFIMA, FIGARCH)×
CampoEconometriaFinanzaFinanza
FamigliaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Anno di origine201519911980
IdeatoreBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Søren JohansenGranger & Joyeux (ARFIMA); Baillie, Bollerslev & Mikkelsen (FIGARCH)
TipoUnivariate time-series modelMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelFractionally integrated time series model
Fonte seminaleBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15-29. DOI ↗
AliasBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliJohansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationARFIMA, FIGARCH, fractionally integrated models, fractional integration
Correlati534
SintesiARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.Long-memory models are fractional-integration methods that capture genuine long memory through a hyperbolically decaying autocorrelation structure. ARFIMA, introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980), models long memory in return series, while FIGARCH, introduced by Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), captures long memory in volatility series; the parameter d measures the degree of fractional integration.
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ScholarGateConfronta i metodi: ARIMA · Johansen Cointegration Test · Long-Memory Models. Consultato il 2026-06-19 da https://scholargate.app/it/compare