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| Uji Batas ARDL (Uji Batas Pesaran)× | Uji Kointegrasi Johansen dan Model Koreksi Kesalahan Vektor× | Model ARDL Nonlinier (NARDL)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bidang≠ | Ekonometrika | Keuangan | Ekonometrika |
| Keluarga | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tahun asal≠ | 2001 | 1991 | 2014 |
| Pencetus≠ | Pesaran, Shin & Smith | Søren Johansen | Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo |
| Tipe≠ | Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model | Multivariate cointegration / vector error correction model | Nonlinear cointegration model |
| Sumber perintis≠ | Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗ | Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗ | Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗ |
| Alias≠ | Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test) | Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegration | NARDL, nonlinear bounds test, asymmetric ARDL, asymmetric cointegration model |
| Terkait≠ | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Ringkasan≠ | The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations. | The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium. | The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing the regressor into cumulative positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a variable exert different effects on the outcome — a feature especially relevant in financial and energy economics where positive and negative shocks rarely cancel out symmetrically. |
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