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Lehetőségi elmélet×Dempster-Shafer bizonyíték-elmélet×Imprecise Probability×
TudományterületLágy számítási módszerekLágy számítási módszerekLágy számítási módszerek
MódszercsaládMachine learningMachine learningBayesian methods
Keletkezés éve198819761991
MegalkotóLotfi Zadeh; Didier Dubois & Henri PradeArthur P. Dempster & Glenn ShaferPeter Walley
TípusUncertainty quantification frameworkUncertainty calculus for combining evidenceSet-valued probability model
AlapműDubois, D., & Prade, H. (1988). Possibility Theory: An Approach to Computerized Processing of Uncertainty. Plenum Press. ISBN: 978-0-306-42520-2Dempster, A. P. (1967). Upper and lower probabilities induced by a multivalued mapping. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 38(2), 325–339. DOI ↗Walley, P. (1991). Statistical Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilities. Chapman & Hall. ISBN: 978-0-412-28660-5
Alternatív nevekFuzzy Possibility Theory, Possibilistic Reasoning, Olasılık Teorisi (Bulanık), Possibility Distribution Theoryevidence theory, belief functions, evidential reasoning, Dempster-Shafer kanıt teorisiLower-Upper Probability, Robust Bayesian Analysis, Credal Set Theory, Belirsiz Olasılık
Kapcsolódó343
ÖsszefoglalóPossibility Theory is a mathematical framework for representing and reasoning under uncertainty, introduced by Lotfi Zadeh in 1978 and systematically developed by Didier Dubois and Henri Prade in their 1988 monograph. It uses possibility distributions — functions assigning a degree in [0,1] to each element of a universe — to encode what is plausible or consistent with available information, complementing probability theory for situations where data is scarce or knowledge is imprecise.Dempster-Shafer theory is a mathematical framework for reasoning under uncertainty that generalizes Bayesian probability by representing ignorance explicitly. Instead of forcing a single probability on each hypothesis, it assigns belief mass to sets of hypotheses and derives a belief-plausibility interval, and it provides Dempster's rule for fusing evidence from multiple independent sources. Developed from Arthur Dempster's 1967 work and Glenn Shafer's 1976 monograph, it underpins evidential reasoning and sensor/decision fusion.Imprecise probability is a generalization of standard probability theory that represents epistemic uncertainty through sets of probability measures, called credal sets, rather than a single precise distribution. Introduced systematically by Peter Walley in his 1991 monograph, the framework characterizes beliefs via lower and upper probabilities (or previsions), bracketing the range of plausible probability assignments when available information is insufficient to determine a unique measure.
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ScholarGateMódszerek összehasonlítása: Possibility Theory · Dempster-Shafer Theory · Imprecise Probability. Letöltve 2026-06-19, forrás: https://scholargate.app/hu/compare