Módszerek összehasonlítása

	Nemlineáris GARCH modell	ARCH modell (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity)
Tudományterület	Ökonometria	Ökonometria
Módszercsalád	Regression model	Regression model
Keletkezés éve	1991-1993	1982
Megalkotó	Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle; Nelson (1991) for EGARCH	Robert F. Engle
Típus	Volatility model	Conditional volatility model
Alapmű	Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801.	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.
Alternatív nevek	NL-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH, GJR-GARCH, nonlinear volatility model	ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
Kapcsolódó	6	6
Összefoglaló	The Nonlinear GARCH model extends the standard GARCH framework to capture asymmetric and nonlinear responses of conditional volatility to past shocks. It allows negative returns (bad news) to amplify volatility more than positive returns of equal magnitude, a phenomenon known as the leverage effect, which is empirically pervasive in financial markets.	The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.