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ARCH-LM teszt volatilitásklaszterezésre×Breusch-Pagan teszt a heteroszkedaszticitásra×GJR-GARCH (aszimmetrikus GARCH)×
TudományterületÖkonometriaÖkonometriaÖkonometria
MódszercsaládRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Keletkezés éve198219791993
MegalkotóRobert F. EngleTrevor Breusch & Adrian PaganGlosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994)
TípusLagrange multiplier diagnostic test for conditional heteroscedasticityLagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticityAsymmetric conditional volatility model
AlapműEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007. DOI ↗Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1979). A simple test for heteroscedasticity and random coefficient variation. Econometrica, 47(5), 1287–1294. DOI ↗Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗
Alternatív nevekARCH-LM Testi ve Volatilite Kümelenmesi Analizi, ARCH LM test, Engle's ARCH test, test for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticityBP test, Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test, Lagrange multiplier test for heteroskedasticity, Breusch-Pagan değişen varyans testiasymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle)
Kapcsolódó635
ÖsszefoglalóThe ARCH-LM test is Robert Engle's (1982) Lagrange multiplier diagnostic for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in the residuals of a fitted time-series model. It checks whether the error variance changes over time and clusters into calm and turbulent periods, and it is the standard pre-test run before fitting a GARCH-family volatility model.The Breusch-Pagan test, introduced by Trevor Breusch and Adrian Pagan in 1979, is a Lagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticity — the condition where the variance of a regression's errors changes with the explanatory variables. It works by regressing the squared OLS residuals on candidate variables and checking whether they explain any of the residual variation, signalling that the constant-variance assumption is violated.GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994).
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ScholarGateMódszerek összehasonlítása: ARCH-LM Test · Breusch-Pagan Test · GJR-GARCH. Letöltve 2026-06-20, forrás: https://scholargate.app/hu/compare