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Pesaran-Timmermannov test usmjerene prediktivne točnosti×Wald-Wolfowitzov test nizova×Test predznaka×
PodručjeEkonometrijaStatistikaStatistika
ObiteljHypothesis testHypothesis testHypothesis test
Godina nastanka199219401946
TvoracM. Hashem Pesaran & Allan TimmermannAbraham Wald & Jacob WolfowitzW. J. Dixon & A. M. Mood
VrstaNonparametric one-sided testNonparametric randomness testNonparametric median test
Temeljni izvorPesaran, M. H., & Timmermann, A. (1992). A simple nonparametric test of predictive performance. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(4), 461–465. DOI ↗Wald, A. & Wolfowitz, J. (1940). On a test whether two samples are from the same population. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 11(2), 147–162. DOI ↗Dixon, W. J. & Mood, A. M. (1946). The statistical sign test. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 41(236), 557–566. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviPT Test, Directional Accuracy Test, Nonparametric Predictive Performance Test, Pesaran-Timmermann Yön TestiWald-Wolfowitz test, runs test for randomness, Runs Testi (Wald-Wolfowitz)İşaret Testi (Sign Test), one-sample sign test, paired sign test
Srodne354
SažetakIntroduced by Pesaran and Timmermann (1992), the PT test is a nonparametric procedure that evaluates whether a forecasting model correctly predicts the direction (sign) of a target variable more often than would be expected by chance. It is widely used in financial econometrics and macroeconomic forecasting to assess the practical utility of a model beyond simple error metrics, particularly when the economic cost of getting the direction wrong is high.The Wald-Wolfowitz runs test is a nonparametric hypothesis test that determines whether a sequence of observations — coded as a series of binary symbols — follows a random pattern or contains systematic structure. Introduced by Abraham Wald and Jacob Wolfowitz in 1940, the test counts the number of uninterrupted runs of identical symbols and asks whether that count is consistent with random arrangement.The sign test is the simplest nonparametric hypothesis test for deciding whether the median of paired differences — or of a single sample — differs significantly from a hypothesised value. Formalised by W. J. Dixon and A. M. Mood in 1946, it imposes virtually no distributional assumptions and can be applied to any data where individual differences can be classified as positive or negative.
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ScholarGateUsporedite metode: Pesaran-Timmermann Test · Runs Test · Sign Test. Preuzeto 2026-06-20 s https://scholargate.app/hr/compare