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| Model GARCH (Prognoziranje volatilnosti)× | Regresija običnih najmanjih kvadrata (OLS)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Područje | Ekonometrija | Ekonometrija |
| Obitelj | Regression model | Regression model |
| Godina nastanka≠ | 1986 | 2019 |
| Tvorac≠ | Tim Bollerslev | Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares |
| Vrsta≠ | Conditional volatility model | Linear regression |
| Temeljni izvor≠ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ | Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860 |
| Drugi nazivi | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) | ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu |
| Srodne | 5 | 5 |
| Sažetak≠ | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. | Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). |
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