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| ETSformer× | ETS: Eksponencijalno izglađivanje pogreške, trenda i sezonskosti× | |
|---|---|---|
| Područje≠ | Duboko učenje | Ekonometrija |
| Obitelj≠ | Machine learning | Regression model |
| Godina nastanka≠ | 2022 | 2008 |
| Tvorac≠ | Gerald Woo et al. | Hyndman, Koehler, Ord & Snyder (state space framework) |
| Vrsta≠ | Hybrid decomposition-based Transformer architecture | Exponential smoothing state space model |
| Temeljni izvor≠ | Woo, G., Liu, C., Sahoo, D., Kumar, A., & Hoi, S. (2022). ETSformer: Exponential smoothing transformers for time-series forecasting. arXiv preprint. link ↗ | Hyndman, R. J., Koehler, A. B., Ord, J. K. & Snyder, R. D. (2008). Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach. Springer. DOI ↗ |
| Drugi nazivi | Exponential Smoothing Transformer, ETS Transformer, ETSformer forecasting model, Üstel Düzleştirme Transformatörü | exponential smoothing state space model, innovations state space model, Holt-Winters family, ETS — Hata/Trend/Mevsimsellik Üstel Düzleştirme |
| Srodne≠ | 2 | 5 |
| Sažetak≠ | ETSformer is a deep learning architecture for time-series forecasting introduced by Woo et al. in 2022. It integrates classical exponential smoothing principles directly into the Transformer framework by replacing standard self-attention with an exponential smoothing attention mechanism. The model decomposes a time series into level, growth (trend), and seasonal components, allowing it to leverage both the long-range dependency modeling of Transformers and the interpretable structure of statistical ETS models. | ETS is a comprehensive exponential smoothing framework that automatically selects additive or multiplicative combinations of the error (E), trend (T) and seasonal (S) components of a time series. Formalised as an innovations state space model by Hyndman, Koehler, Ord and Snyder in 2008, it unifies and generalises the Holt-Winters family of forecasting methods. |
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