विधियों की तुलना करें
चुनी हुई विधियों की आमने-सामने समीक्षा करें; भिन्नता वाली पंक्तियाँ रेखांकित हैं।
| संरचनात्मक विराम टीजीएआरसीएच (संरचनात्मक विरामों के साथ थ्रेशोल्ड जीएआरसीएच)× | गार्छ मॉडल (अस्थिरता पूर्वानुमान)× | थ्रेशोल्ड GARCH (TGARCH) मॉडल× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| क्षेत्र | अर्थमिति | अर्थमिति | अर्थमिति |
| परिवार | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| उद्भव वर्ष≠ | 1990-1993 | 1986 | 1993-1994 |
| प्रवर्तक≠ | Lamoureux & Lastrapes (structural breaks in GARCH); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (TGARCH/GJR-GARCH asymmetry) | Tim Bollerslev | Zakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993) |
| प्रकार≠ | Volatility model | Conditional volatility model | Asymmetric volatility model |
| मौलिक स्रोत≠ | Lamoureux, C. G., & Lastrapes, W. D. (1990). Persistence in variance, structural change, and the GARCH model. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 8(2), 225-234. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗ |
| उपनाम | SB-TGARCH, threshold GARCH with structural breaks, GJR-GARCH with structural breaks, break-adjusted TGARCH | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) | Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH |
| संबंधित≠ | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| सारांश≠ | Structural Break TGARCH extends the Threshold GARCH (GJR-GARCH) model to accommodate discrete, permanent shifts in the volatility process. By detecting structural breaks and incorporating them — either as regime-specific intercepts or dummy variables — the model separates genuine volatility persistence from spurious persistence induced by ignored regime changes, and preserves the asymmetric leverage effect that characterises equity and financial return data. | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. | The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative. |
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