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वास्तविक अस्थिरता और HAR मॉडल×एक्सपोनेंशियल GARCH (EGARCH)×जोहान्सन सह-एकीकरण परीक्षण और सदिश त्रुटि सुधार मॉडल×दीर्घ-स्मृति मॉडल (ARFIMA, FIGARCH)×
क्षेत्रवित्तअर्थमितिवित्तवित्त
परिवारRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष2009199119911980
प्रवर्तकCorsi (HAR model); Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold & Labys (realized volatility)NelsonSøren JohansenGranger & Joyeux (ARFIMA); Baillie, Bollerslev & Mikkelsen (FIGARCH)
प्रकारTime-series regression of realized varianceConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Multivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelFractionally integrated time series model
मौलिक स्रोतCorsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174-196. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15-29. DOI ↗
उपनामrealized variance, HAR model, heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility, HAR-RVexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHJohansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationARFIMA, FIGARCH, fractionally integrated models, fractional integration
संबंधित5434
सारांशRealized volatility estimates an asset's variance directly from high-frequency intraday returns rather than from a parametric latent process. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi (2009), building on the realized-volatility framework of Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), forecasts this measure by combining daily, weekly, and monthly volatility components, and is a strong alternative to GARCH for volatility prediction.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.Long-memory models are fractional-integration methods that capture genuine long memory through a hyperbolically decaying autocorrelation structure. ARFIMA, introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980), models long memory in return series, while FIGARCH, introduced by Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), captures long memory in volatility series; the parameter d measures the degree of fractional integration.
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