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जोहान्सन सह-एकीकरण परीक्षण और सदिश त्रुटि सुधार मॉडल×ARDL सीमा परीक्षण (Pesaran सीमा परीक्षण)×ऑटोरेग्रेसिव इंटीग्रेटेड मूविंग एवरेज (ARIMA) मॉडल×
क्षेत्रवित्तअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष199120012015
प्रवर्तकSøren JohansenPesaran, Shin & SmithBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
प्रकारMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelUnivariate time-series model
मौलिक स्रोतJohansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
उपनामJohansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
संबंधित345
सारांशThe Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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